The Policy & Practice of Climate Change & Water

New Episode of #ClimateReady Podcast | A High Probability of Uncertainty: How Do We Plan with Unknowns?

Nobody has data from the future - it hasn’t happened yet. But for centuries we’ve assumed that the past can predict the future. What if it can’t anymore? Will engineers and planners become consumed by inaction and climate uncertainty?

Climate Risk Informed Decision Analysis (CRIDA) is a new five-step water resources planning framework that helps address deep uncertainties associated with climatic, demographic and land-use change. CRIDA tackles the hardest part of climate adaptation: those times we need a hard number as engineers and economists, especially in parts of the world where may not have access to much data.

In this episode of ClimateReady, we are joined by three of the lead authors behind the recently-released publication. Drs. Guillermo Mendoza, Ad Jeuken, and John Matthews each lend their perspectives on how an engineer, a climate scientist, and an ecologist (respectively) came together to create a new vision of resilience in water management planning and decision making.

The CRIDA publication and additional resources are available at agwaguide.org/CRIDA. The guidebook is a co-publication of UNESCO IHP and the Integrated Center for International Water Resources Management (ICIWaRM), a UNESCO center in the United States.
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CRIDA Teaser Video and Download Link

How do we make better informed decisions for water management given future uncertainty? How can we mainstream robust, flexible approaches? And how can we institutionalize these methods into consistent, replicable outcomes?

CRIDA -- Climate Risk Informed Decision Analysis -- provides stepwise planning guidance for water resources planners and managers to implement resilient water management globally, with a strong ecological element.

Just published by UNESCO and written through a partnership with Deltares, the International Center for Integrated Water Resources Management (ICIWaRM), the Rijkswaterstaat, The World Bank, Alliance for Global Water Adaptation (AGWA), and many others, including strong support from Colorado State Water Center, The National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC), and the Millennium Challenge Corporation. CRIDA has already been applied in more than a dozen projects, across five continents.

Download your copy today!
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CRIDA Publication Now Available | Open Access Guide to Water Resources Management in the Face of Uncertainty

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CRIDA book cover

Global Launch of New Water Resources Planning Framework for Addressing Climate Change and Other “Deep” Uncertainties

PARIS: 23/10/2018: 14:00 CEST

At this very moment immense changes are happening at all scales, from global to local. Climatic, economic, demographic, and land-use shifts are fundamentally altering the ways in which we interact with and manage the planet’s resources — freshwater being chief among them. The stressors on water resources management will continue to increase as population and urban areas grow, and they pose a real risk to economic, social, and environmental security in many parts of the world.

In practice, much of our management of water occurs through the medium of long-lived infrastructure. That infrastructure can easily endure for a century or more — even outlasting the financing and governance mechanisms that created it. Decisions made today about their design, allocation, governance, and operations may have impacts decades away.

For well over a decade, water managers, decision makers, investors, and scientists have been looking for better ways to address risks. The challenge has been to build upon existing decision making processes in order to work with, rather than against uncertainty.

Climate Risk Informed Decision Analysis, or CRIDA, is a new “bottom-up” stepwise methodology designed for engineering-oriented water decision makers interested in incorporating resilience into planning and operational decisions with stakeholders. The CRIDA methodology begins with the early stages of project planning when stakeholders are engaged and vulnerabilities and future water demands are assessed. The goal is to mainstream robust and flexible approaches to water management by institutionalizing these methods into consistent, replicable, and accessible outcomes — especially in data-poor regions.
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RainMapper: New Smartphone App Uses Remote Sensing to Provide Rainfall Totals Across Globe

In developed countries, precipitation forecasting generally involves integrating data from weather stations, radiosondes, Doppler radar and weather satellites, not to mention numerical forecasting using supercomputers. Needless to say, such systems are not available in all parts of the world.

However, often an estimate of how much rain has fallen recently in or around the area of interest is sufficient. For this, the University of California-Irvine’s Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing (CHRS; http://chrs.web.uci.edu/), along with UNESCO-IHP’s arid regions program G-WADI (www.gwadi.org or www.iciwarm.org), have developed solutions for both personal computers and mobile-devices.
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