Publications and Articles on Bottom-Up Adaptation
Bottom-up approaches are relatively new to the fields of climate adaptation and water management. This library of publications can provide more technical understanding behind the approaches described in the Knowledge Platform. As more studies are published and bottom-up approaches are demonstrated, this collection will evolve over time.
Deep Uncertainty
Haasnoot, M. (2013). Anticipating Change: Sustainable Water Policy Pathways for an Uncertain Future. DOI: 10.3990/1.9789036535595
Hallegatte, S., Shah, A., Lempert, R., Brown, C., & Gill, S. (2012). Investment Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty: Application to Climate Change. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., Krysanova, V., Benestad, R.E., Hov, Ø., Piniewski, M., & Otto, I.M. (2018). Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources. Environmental Science and Policy, 79, 1-8. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.10.008
Kwakkel, J.H., Haasnoot, M., & Walker, W.E. (2016). Comparing Robust Decision-Making and Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways for model-based decision support under deep uncertainty. Env. Modelling and Software, 86, 168-183. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.09.017
Maier H.R., Guillaume J.H.A., van Delden H., Riddell G.A., Haasnoot M., & Kwakkel J.H. (2016). An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together? Environmental Modelling and Software, 81, 154‐164. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.03.014
Marchau, V.A.W.J., Walker, W.E., Bloemen, P.J.T.M., & Popper, S.J. (eds). (2019). Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice. Springer International. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-05252-2
Whateley, S., Steinschneider, S., & Brown, C. (2014), A climate change range-based method for estimating robustness for water resources supply. Water Resources Research, 50, 8944–8961. DOI: 10.1002/2014WR015956
Ecosystems and Environment
Bouska, K. L., Houser, J. N., De Jager, N. R., Van Appledorn, M., & Rogala, J. T. (2019). Applying concepts of general resilience to large river ecosystems: A case study from the Upper Mississippi and Illinois rivers. Ecological indicators, 101, 1094-1110. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.02.002
Findlay, S. (2018). The bright side of linking science and management in large river ecosystems: The Hudson River case study. River Research and Applications, 1-7. DOI: 10.1002/rra.3233
Grantham, T.E., Matthews, J.H., & Bledsoe, B.P. (2019). Shifting currents: Managing freshwater systems for ecological resilience in a changing climate. Water Security, 8. DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2019.100049
Hallouin, T., Bruen, M., Christie, M., Bullock, C., & Kelly-Quinn, M. (2018). Challenges in Using Hydrology and Water Quality Models for Assessing Freshwater Ecosystem Services: A Review. Geosciences, 8(2) 45. DOI: 10.3390/geosciences8020045
Horne, A., Nathan, R., Poff, L., Bond, N., Webb, A., Wang, J., & John, A. (2018). Modelling flow-ecology responses in the Anthropocene: challenges for sustainable riverine management. BioScience, biz087. DOI: 10.1093/biosci/biz087
Karrasch, L., Maier, M., Kleyer, M., & Klenke, T. (2017). Collaborative Landscape Planning: Co-Design of Ecosystem-Based Land Management Scenarios. Sustainability, 9(9), 1668. DOI: 10.3390/su9091668
Matthews, J.H., Mauroner, A.W., Grantham, T.G., Escobar Montecinos, N., Verbist, K, Jeuken, A., & Mendoza, G. (2018). "Eco-engineering decision scaling (EEDS): A new approach to integrating ecosystems within engineered water management systems.” In Proceedings of 8TH Asian Regional Conference on “Irrigation in Support of Evergreen Revolution.” Kathmandu: Nepal National Committee of ICID (ICID).
Nanda, A., Beesley, L., Locatelli, L., Gersonius, B., Hipsey, M.R., & Ghadouani, A. (2018). Adaptation Tipping Points of a Wetland under a Drying Climate. Water, 10(2), 234-254. DOI: 10.3390/w10020234
Olander, L.P., Johnston, R.J., Tallis, H., Kagan, J., Maguire, L.A., et al. (2018). Benefit relevant indicators: Ecosystem services measures that link ecological T and social outcomes. Ecological Indicators, 85, 1262-1272. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.12.001
Palmer, M., & Ruhi, A. (2019). Linkages between flow regime, biota, and ecosystem processes: Implications for river restoration. Science, 365(6459), eaaw2087. DOI: 10.1126/science.aaw2087
Poff, N.L. (2017). Beyond the natural flow regime? Broadening the hydro-ecological foundation to meet environmental flows challenges in a non-stationary world. Freshwater Biology, 1-11. DOI: 10.1111/fwb.13038
Rolls, R.J., Heino, J., Ryder, D.S., Chessman, B.C., Growns, I.O., Thompson, R.M., & Gido, K.B. (2018). Scaling biodiversity responses to hydrological regimes. Bio. Rev., 93, 971-995. DOI: 10.1111/brv.12381
Simpson, M., James, R., Hall, J.W., Borgomeo, E., Ives, M.C., Almeida, S., ... Wagener, T. (2016). Decision Analysis for Management of Natural Hazards. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 41(15), 489-516. DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-090011
Stewardson, M.J. & Guarino, F. (2018). Basin‐scale environmental water delivery in the Murray–Darling, Australia: A hydrological perspective. Freshwater Biology. DOI: 10.1111/fwb.13102
Tingstad, A.H., Lempert, R.J., Moskwik, M., Warren, D.L., Parmesan, C., et al. (2017). Demonstrating the Applicability of a Robust Decision Making (RDM) to Conservation Decision-Making Under Uncertain Future Climate: Pilot Study Using the Northern Pygmy Salamander (Desmognathus organi). Journal of Conservation Planning, 13, 11-24. http://hdl.handle.net/10026.1/10107
Verkerk, P.I., Sánchez, A., Libbrecht, S., Broekman, A., Bruggeman, A., et al. (2017). A Participatory Approach for Adapting River Basins to Climate Change. Water, 9, 958-974. DOI: 10.3390/w9120958
Wang, J., Nathan, R., Horne, A., Peel, M.C., Wei, Y., & Langford, J. (2017). Evaluating four downscaling methods for assessment of climate change impact on ecological indicators. Env. Modelling & Software, 96, 68-82. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.016
Webb, J.A., Watts, R.J., Allan, C., & Conallin, J.C. (2018). Adaptive Management of Environmental Flows. Environmental Management, 1-8. DOI: 10.1007/s00267-017-0981-6
Zölch, T., Wamsler, C., & Pauleit, S. (2017). Integrating the ecosystem-based approach in municipal adaptation strategies to climate change. Journal of Cleaner Production. In Press, Accepted Manuscript. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.09.146
Hard Infrastructure
Bonzanigo, L., Brown, C., Harou, J.J., Hurford, A., Ray, P.A., Karki, P. (2015). South Asia - Investment decision making in hydropower: decision tree case study of the upper Arun hydropower project and Koshi basin hydropower development in Nepal. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.
Taner, M.U., Ray, P., & Brown, C. (2017). Robustness-based evaluation of hydropower infrastructure design under climate change. Climate Risk Management, 18, 34-50. DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2017.08.002
Risk Assessment and Planning
Alodah, A. & Seidou, O. (2017). The realism of Stochastic Weather Generators in Risk Discovery. WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment, 220, 239-249. DOI: 10.2495/WRM170231
Bhave, A., Mishra, A., Raghuwanshi, N. (2014). A combined bottom-up and top-down approach for assessment of climate change adaptation options. Journal of Hydrology, 518, 150-161. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1061-z
Brown, C. (2010). The End of Reliability. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 136(2), 143–145. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.65
Brown, C. & Wilby, R. (2012). An Alternate Approach to Assessing Climate Risks. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 93(41), 401–402. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1454
Campos, I., Ng, K., Clemmensen, A.H., & Penha Lopes, G. (2016). Adapting to Climate Change Comparison of Case Studies. BASE Report. http://base-adaptation.eu/sites/default/files/D.5.5.pdf
Culley, S., Noble, S., Yates, A., Timbs, M., Westra, S., Mair, H.R., Giuliani, M., Castelletti, A. (2016). A bottom-up approach to identifying the operational adaptive capacity of water resources systems to a changing climate. Water Resources Research, 52(9), 6751 - 6758. DOI: 10.1002/2015WR018253/full
Fisk, G.W. (2017). Climate risks and adaptation pathways for coastal transport infrastructure. Guidelines for planning and adaptive responses. National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Gold Coast.
García, L. E., Matthews, J., Rodriguez, D. J., Wijnen, M., DiFrancesco, K. N., & Ray, P. (2014). Beyond Downscaling: A Bottom-Up Approach to Climate Adaptation for Water Resources Management. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/21066
Gilroy, K. & Jeuken, A. (2018). Collaborative Risk Informed Decision Analysis: A water security case study in the Philippines. Climate Services. DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2018.04.002
Girard, C., Pulido-Velazquez, M., Rinaudo, J., Pagé, C., & Caballero, Y. (2015). Integrating top–down and bottom–up approaches to design global change adaptation at the river basin scale. Global Environmental Change, 34, 132-146. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.07.002
Kwadijk, J.C.J., Haasnoot, M., Mulder, J.P.M., Hoogvliet, M.M.C., Jeuken, A.B.M., van der Krogt, R.A.A., van Oostrom, N.G.C., Schelfhout, H.A., van Velzen, E.H., van Waveren, H. & de Wit, M.J.M. (2010). Using adaptation tipping points to prepare for climate change and sea level rise: A case study in the Netherlands. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 1, 729-740. DOI: 10.1002/wcc.64
Olabisi, L.S., Liverpool-Tasie, S., Rivers III, L., Ligmann-Zielinska, A., Du, J., Denny, R., Marquart-Pyatt, S., & Sidibé, A. (2017). Using participatory modeling processes to identify sources of climate risk in West Africa. Environment Systems and Decisions, 1-10. DOI: 10.1007/s10669-017-9653-6
Sauquet, E., Richard, B., Devers, A., & Prudhomme, C. (2019). Water restrictions under climate change: a Rhône–Mediterranean perspective combining bottom-up and top-down approaches. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23(9), 3683-3710. DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-3683-2019
Ray, P. A., & Brown, C. M. (2015). Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design: The Decision Tree Framework. Washington, DC: The World Bank. DOI: 10.1596/978-1-4648-0477-9
Wagenaar, D.J., Dahm, R.J., Diermanse, F.L.M., Dias, W.P.S., Dissanayake, D.M.S.S., Vajja, H.P., Gehrels, J.C., & Bouwer, L.M. (2019). Evaluating adaptation measures for reducing flood risk: A case study in the city of Colombo, Sri Lanka. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 37. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101162
Wilby, R.L. (2011). Adaptation: Wells of wisdom. Nature Climate Change, 1(6), 302–303. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1203
Wilby, R.L. (2019). A global hydrology research agenda fit for the 2030s. Hydrology Research nh2019100. DOI: 10.2166/nh.2019.100
Operations and Management
Barbour, E.J., Holz, L., Kuczera, G., Pollino, C.A., Jakeman, A.J., & Loucks, D.P. (2016). Optimisation as a Process for Managing River Ecosystems. Environmental Modeling & Software, 83, 167-178. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.21483.8528
Boltz, F., Poff, N. L., Folke, C., Kete, N., Brown, C. M., Freeman, S. S. G., ... & Rockström, J. (2019). Water is a master variable: solving for resilience in the modern era. Water Security, 8, 100048. DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2019.100048
Carlsson Kanyama, A., Wikman-Svahn, P., & Mossberg Sonnek, K. (2019). “We want to know where the line is”: comparing current planning for future sea-level rise with three core principles of robust decision support approaches. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management. DOI: 10.1080/09640568.2018.1496070
Clarvis, M.H., Fatichi, S., Allan, A., Fuhrer, J., Stoffel, M., Romerio, F., Godard, L, Burlando, P. et al. (2014). Governing and managing water resources under changing hydro-climatic contexts: The case of the upper Rhone basin. Environmental Science & Policy, 43, 56-67. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2013.11.005
Haasnoot, M., Middelkoop, H., Offermans, A., van Beek, E. & Van Deursen, W.P.A. (2012). Exploring pathways for sustainable water management in river deltas in a changing environment. Climatic Change, 115(304), 795-819. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0444-2
Hallegatte, S. (2009). Strategies to adapt to an uncertain climate change. Global Environmental Change, 19(2), 240–247. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.12.003
Kalra, N.R., Groves, D.G., Bonzanigo, L., Perez, E., Ramos, C., Brandon, C.J., & Rodriguez Cabanillas, I. (2015). Robust decision-making in the water sector: a strategy for implementing Lima’s long-term water resources master plan. Policy Research working paper; no. WPS 7439. Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/617161468187788705/Robust-decision-making-in-the-water-sector-a-strategy-for-implementing-Lima-s-long-term-water-resources-master-plan
Kwakkel, J.H. (2017). The Exploratory Modeling Workbench: An open source toolkit for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and (multi-objective) robust decision making. Env. Modelling & Software, 96, 239-250. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.054
Liddle, S. & Fenner, R. (2017). Water point failure in sub-Saharan Africa: the value of a systems thinking approach. Waterlines, 32(2), 140-166. DOI: 10.3362/1756-3488.16-00022
Martin, D.M., Powell, S.J., Webb, J.A., Nichols, S.J., & Poff, N.L. (2016). An Objective Method to Prioritize Socio‐Environmental Water Management Tradeoffs Using Multi‐Criteria Decision Analysis. River Research and Applications, 33(4), 586-596. DOI: 10.1002/rra.3103
McPhail, C., Maier, H.R., Kwakkel, J.H., Giuliani, M., Castelletti, A., & Westra, S. (2018). Robustness Metrics: How Are They Calculated, When Should They Be Used and Why Do They Give Different Results? Earth's Future. DOI: 10.1002/2017EF000649
Vij, S., Moors, E., Ahmad, B., Uzzaman, A., Bhadwal, S., Biesbroek, R., Gioli, G., Groot, A., Mallick, D., & Regmi, B. (2017). Climate adaptation approaches and key policy characteristics: Cases from South Asia. Environmental Science & Policy, 78, 58-65. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.09.007
Voisin, N., Tidwell, V., Kintner-Meyer, M., & Boltz, F. (2019). Planning for sustained water-electricity resilience over the US: Persistence of current water-electricity operations and long-term transformative plans. Water Security, 7, 100035. DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2019.100035
Weaver, C.P., Lempert, R.J., Brown, C., Hall, J.A. Revell, D., & Sarewitz, D. (2013). Improving the contribution of climate model information to decision making: The value and demands of robust decision frameworks. Wiley Interdisciplinary Rev.: Clim. Change, 4(1), 39–60. DOI: 10.1002/wcc.202
Zandvoort, M., Campos, I.S., Vizinho, A., Penha-Lopes, G., Lorencová, E.K., van der Brugge, R., van der Vlist, M.J., van den Brink, A., & Jeuken, A.B.M. (2017). Adaptation pathways in planning for uncertain climate change: Applications in Portugal, the Czech Republic and the Netherlands. Environmental Science & Policy, 78, 18-26. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.08.01
Zipper, S. C., Jaramillo, F., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., Cornell, S. E., Gleeson, T., Porkka, M., ... & Hoff, H. (2019). Integrating the water planetary boundary with water management from local to global scales. Earth's Future, e2019EF001377.
Urban Resilience
Beane, G., Bruebach, K., Ellis, L., Fisher, S., Gine, R., Jiménez, A., Ruiz-Apilánez, Saikia, P., Shouler, M., & Sobey,, M. (2019). City Water Resilience Assessment Methodology. City Water Resilience Approach report. https://www.resilienceshift.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/CWRA-Methodology-Final.pdf
Brown, C., Shaker, R.R., & Das, R. (2016). A review of approaches for monitoring and evaluation of urban climate resilience initiatives. Environ Dev Sustain, 1-18. DOI: 10.1007/s10668-016-9891-7
Jittrapirom, P., Marchau, V.A.W.J, & Meurs, H. (2017). Dynamic Adaptive Policymaking for Implementing Mobility as a Service (MAAS). Association of European Transport. Available online: http://repository.ubn.ru.nl/handle/2066/179332
Radhakrishnan, M., Pathirana, A., Ashley, R.M., Gersonius, B., & Zevenbergen, C. (2018). Flexible adaptation planning for water sensitive cities. Cities. DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2018.01.022
Salinas-Rodriguez, C., Gersonius, B., Zevenbergen, C., Serrano, D., & Ashley, R. (2018). A Semi Risk-Based Approach for Managing Urban Drainage Systems under Extreme Rainfall. Water, 10(4), 384. DOI: 10.3390/w10040384
Tellman, B., Bausch, J.C., Eakin, H., Anderies, J.M., Mazari-Hiriart, M., Manuel-Navarret, D., & Redman, C.L. (2018). Adaptive pathways and coupled infrastructure: seven centuries of adaptation to water risk and the production of vulnerability in Mexico City. Ecology and Society, 23(1). DOI: 10.5751/ES-09712-230101
Wamsler, C. & Raggers, S. (2018). Principles for supporting city–citizen commoning for climate adaptation: From adaptation governance to sustainable transformation. Environmental Science & Policy, 85, 81-89. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2018.03.021
Wardekker, A. (2018). Resilience Principles as a Tool for Exploring Options for Urban Resilience. Solutions, 9(1). https://www.thesolutionsjournal.com/article/resilience-principles-tool-exploring-options-urban-resilience/
Finance and Investments
Haasnoot, M., van Aalst, M., Rozenberg, J., Dominique, K., Matthews, J., Bouwer, L.M., Kind, J., & Poff, N.L. (2019). Investments under non-stationarity: economic evaluation of adaptation pathways. Climatic Change. 10.1007/s10584-019-02409-6
Meyer, V., Gebhardt, O., & Alves, F.M. (2015). Economic evaluation of adaptation options. BASE Report. http://base-adaptation.eu/sites/default/files/Deliverable_5_2_FINAL.pdf
Mosello, B., Adamtey, R., & Obuobie, E. (2017). Making water infrastructure investment decisions in a changing climate. ODI Briefing Note. Available online: https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/resource-documents/11882.pdf